One China 101: Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Trump's Gambit

Richard C. Bush, Senior Fellow, John L. Thornton China Center; Director, Center for East Asia Policy Studies, Brookings Institution; Dali L. Yang, Nonresident Senior Fellow, Chicago Council on Global Affairs; Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Chicago

One China 101: Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Trump's Gambit

“The one-China principle, which is the political foundation of the China-U.S. relations, is non-negotiable,” Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People’s Republic of China, January 16, 2017.

The "One China" policy—whereby the US maintains formal relations with Beijing and not Taiwan—has been the cornerstone of US-China relations for decades. It was upended within one month of Donald Trump’s victory, when the then president-elect accepted a phone call from Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen. Further statements from the Trump administration suggest that questioning the "One China" policy may no longer be taboo. On the heels of the 45th anniversary of the 1972 Shanghai Communique—which marked the beginning of the rapprochement of US-China relations—what does the Trump presidency portend for US-China relations and the fortunes of Hong Kong and Taiwan? Could Taiwan be part of a bargain between the US and China? How would Hong Kong fare in the event of a possible Sino-US trade war?

Richard C. Bush’s new book, Hong Kong in the Shadow of China: Living with the Leviathan, will be available for sale and signing from The Book Cellar.

Speaker Bio

Pre-Reads

China Can Thrive in the Trump Era
Yan Xuetong, The New York Times, 1/25/2017

The Twilight of the Liberal World Order
Robert Kagan, Brookings Institution, 1/24/2017

Donald Trump and Xi Jinping's Battle Over Globalization
Finacial Times, 1/24/2017

Trump Injects High Risk Into Relations With China
Jane Perlez and Chris Buckley, The New York Times, 1/24/2017

For CEOs, a New Concern: The Activist in Chief
Andrew Ross Sorkin, The New York Times, 1/23/2017

'America First' Takes on a New Meaning
William McGurn, The Wall Street Journal, 1/23/2017

If America Refuses to Lead
Richard Fontaine and Mira Rapp-Hooper, The Wall Street Journal, 1/23/2017

Donald Trump's New World Order Puts Nation Over Globe
Ian Bremmer, Time, 1/12/2017

Schedule

5:30 p.m.
Registration and cash bar reception

6:00 p.m.
Discussion and Q&A

7:15 p.m.
Adjournment and book signing

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