November 9, 2016 | By Dina Smeltz

The US-Russian Relationship

One of the many surprises of President Elect Donald Trump’s campaign promises occurred early on: an endorsement of friendlier relations with Russia. On this issue, he remained consistent over time, and resulted this morning with an invitation from Russian President Vladimir Putin to restore US-Russia ties. And yet, the Council’s 2016 survey found little difference between core Trump supporters’ dismal views on Russia and those of more traditional Republicans.

In an effort to grasp the public basis for US-Russian disillusionment the 2016 Chicago Council Survey partnered with the Levada Analytical Center in Moscow to ask Americans and Russians how they feel about each other and—more importantly—each other’s government. Unsurprisingly, the Council and Levada found that Americans don’t view Russia favorably and Russians don’t view the US favorably. In both countries, the crisis in Ukraine brought public favorability to lows not seen in the post-Cold War world.

Distrust is a driving force behind these sentiments. Russians believe the real reason the US placed sanctions on Russia was to curtail Russian might. They also fear a disagreement over Syria will result in an armed conflict between the two countries and recognize that the Russian government fears NATO enlargement. Americans similarly suspect Russia is trying to constrain it and that it is working against US interests in the conflict in Syria, the Iran deal, and wider nonproliferation efforts. And yet, like Trump, majorities of all Americans want more cooperation with Russia.

To read more about the chilled American and Russian perceptions, and a few sprinkles of hope for future improved relations, see the Council’s brief here (по-русски здесь) and The Washington Post’s take on the data here

About

The Chicago Council on Global Affairs highlights critical shifts in American public thinking on US foreign policy through public opinion surveys and research conducted under the Lester Crown Center on US Foreign Policy. 

The annual Chicago Council Survey, first conducted in 1974, is a valuable resource for policymakers, academics, media, and the general public. The Council also surveys American leaders in government, business, academia, think tanks, and religious organizations biennially to compare trends in their thinking with overall trends. And collaborating with partner organizations, the survey team periodically conducts parallel surveys of public opinion in other regions of the world to compare with US public opinion. 

The Running Numbers blog features regular commentary and analysis from the Council’s public opinion and US foreign policy research team, including a series of flash polls of a select group of foreign policy experts to assess their opinions on critical foreign policy topics driving the news.

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