July 21, 2017 | By Dina Smeltz

Trust Trump to Negotiate with Putin? Americans Say Nyet

US President Donald Trump meets with Russian President Vladimir Putin during the their bilateral meeting at the G20 summit in Hamburg, Germany July 7, 2017. REUTERS/Carlos Barria

Today, the Washington Post reported that some of President Trump’s outside legal counsel have looked into who the president can pardon including whether he can pardon his family or even himself. This news follows the recent bombshell that Donald Jr., his son-in-law Jared Kushner, and his then-campaign manager Paul Manafort met last summer with a Russian lawyer who claimed to have compromising information about Hillary Clinton. While news of Jr.’s meeting broke at home, all eyes in Hamburg, Germany were on Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin when they met on the sidelines of the G20 meeting last month, eclipsing much of the news from the official proceedings.

Apparently, Trump and Russian President Putin hit it off when they met at the G20 last month in Hamburg, Germany. Their meeting, which included Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, had been scheduled for only thirty minutes but lasted about two hours. Since then, reports have disclosed that President Trump had another subsequent private conversation with Putin at a dinner with G20 summit leaders and their spouses, with only the Kremlin-provided interpreter present. Americans are more cautious about reaching out to Russia than perhaps President Trump. Only 15 percent of Americans have a favorable view of Putin (according to a July 8-12 Bloomberg poll), and 50 percent said that Trump was “too friendly” in his attitude toward Russia (42% said his attitude is about right in a June 22-27 Quinnipiac poll).  An even more recent (July 10-13, 2017) ABC News/Washington Post survey finds that a majority of Americans say they have little to no trust in Donald Trump to negotiate on “America’s behalf with Russian leader Vladimir Putin” (66%, with 32% a great deal or good amount of trust). 

After the first meeting, Tillerson reported that President Trump had pressed Putin about Russian meddling in the US election, but Trump had moved the discussion along after Putin refused to acknowledge Russian interference. For his part, Putin reported that he had denied Russia’s involvement in the US presidential election and he believed that his answer had “satisfied” Trump. But a majority of Americans would not be satisfied:  six in ten (60%) think that the Russian government tried to influence the 2016 US presidential election, though only 44 percent think that Trump benefitted from this interference.  Even before last night’s news that Trump may be looking for ways to discredit special counsel Robert Mueller, more Americans say that Donald Trump is trying to interfere with investigations of possible Russian involvement rather than cooperating (52% to 37%)(ABC/WaPo). Two in three Americans (64%) believe Trump was more concerned about protecting his administration than about protecting the United States, according to a recent CBS News poll.

Asked about the meeting between Donald Trump Jr. et al and Russian lawyer Natalia Veselnitskaya to obtain damaging information about Hillary Clinton, nearly two-thirds (63%) of the American public believe it was inappropriate for the three Trump associates to attend the meeting. Even before these meetings came to light, a June NPR/PBS/Marist poll showed that a majority of Americans believed that Trump’s campaign associates did something either illegal (33%) or unethical (25%). A narrow majority said that Trump himself has done something either illegal (25%) or unethical (29%).  With all of these polls, there are wide partisan divides, with Democrats expressing concern over possible Russian influence and possible Trump campaign involvement, and Republicans tending to dismiss these charges.

Despite Americans’ unfavorable views of Putin, Americans think it is better to cooperate with Russia than actively try to limit its power. The June NPR/PBS/Marist poll found that 59 percent said it would be better to build a relationship with Russia than treat Russia as a threat. More self-described Republicans (67%) than Democrats (46%) favor building better relations, which seem to reflect an interesting partisan shift since Donald Trump became president.  In December 2016, the Chicago Council Survey found that 56 percent of Americans said the US should cooperate with Russia.  But in that poll, Democrats (62%) were more likely than Republicans (50%) to cooperate.  This partisan shift signals that the first six months of the Trump administration have moved Republicans toward a more favorable position – and Democrats toward a less favorable one – regarding US-Russia cooperation. Our new 2017 Chicago Council Survey results, expected next week, will demonstrate whether and how GOP opinion has moved on other foreign policy issues. 

About

The Chicago Council on Global Affairs highlights critical shifts in American public thinking on US foreign policy through public opinion surveys and research conducted under the Lester Crown Center on US Foreign Policy. 

The annual Chicago Council Survey, first conducted in 1974, is a valuable resource for policymakers, academics, media, and the general public. The Council also surveys American leaders in government, business, academia, think tanks, and religious organizations biennially to compare trends in their thinking with overall trends. And collaborating with partner organizations, the survey team periodically conducts parallel surveys of public opinion in other regions of the world to compare with US public opinion. 

The Running Numbers blog features regular commentary and analysis from the Council’s public opinion and US foreign policy research team, including a series of flash polls of a select group of foreign policy experts to assess their opinions on critical foreign policy topics driving the news.

Archive



| By Karl Friedhoff

Korea-Japan Agreement Here to Stay

Karl Friedhoff looks at polling done in South Korea on attitudes towards Japan to add perspective on the recent deal between Korea and Japan to resolve the "comfort women" issue.




| By Dina Smeltz, Craig Kafura

Climate Concerns on the Rise

While Democrats and Republicans are at opposite ends of the spectrum in prioritizing climate change, Chicago Council Surveys going back to 2002 have shown longstanding public support for an international treaty to address the problem.


Americans Hungry for Food Information

There is a renaissance in America’s interest in food and, more specifically, how food is produced. A new Chicago Council poll finds that contrary to the debate about hot-button issues like GMOs, antibiotics, and local food, the vast majority of Americans value food that is above all affordable, safe, and nutritious.

| By Karl Friedhoff, Dina Smeltz

Strong Asia Alliances, Divided Publics

New Council survey data shows that US relations with Japan and South Korea are strong. But mutual distrust between Japan and South Korea continues, even as the United States encourages strengthened relations in the face of a rising China.

| By Sara McElmurry

Calling a Vote before the Curtain Call

Soon-to-be-former Speaker John Boehner has shot down immigration advocates’ requests that he call a vote on immigration before he leaves Congress at the end of the month. But numbers from the 2015 Chicago Council Survey suggest that advancing a vote might not be a bad idea.


| By Karl Friedhoff

Meet the New South Korea

South Korea is no longer sitting back and absorbing North Korea's provocations. A look at attitudes on identity and reunification among South Korea's youth suggests that in the future this will become the norm, not the exception.

| By Craig Kafura

The Politics of the Iran Deal

Republicans have come out strongly against the Iran nuclear deal, and have also used it to slam their biggest Democratic rival for 2016, Hillary Clinton. But is the deal actually a problem for Clinton?