Council Fellow Saeid Golkar discusses Iran's political landscape leading up to the upcoming presidential election on May 19. And hear from Golkar in-person at a Council event on June 13.
"Actually this election, in my opinion, is the most important election, so far, in the Islamic Republic. The dominant paradigm, right now, for understanding Iran's political system is: the reformists on the left to the pragmatists in the middle and hardliners on the right. I propose a new way to look at Iran's political system; through a different political elite. In Iran after the revolution, 1979, we have 3 different political elites: clergy, military and security, and by that I mean the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, and the technocrats, that you know, are dominant in bureaucracy. If you look to these three political elites, you can have a better understanding of what is going on, right now, in Iran and the May presidential election. and the May presidential election. Because, Iran's Supreme Leader right now, is seventy-seven, Ayatollah Khamenei, there is a possibily that during the next four years the next supreme leader will be elected. The candidates belong to these three political power blocs. The incumbent president, Hassan Rouhani, is a main candidate, is the candidate of the alliance between clergy and the technocrats. Ebrahim Raisi, he is another candidate, a main candidate who belongs to the alliance of the clergy of the revolutionary guard, military and security. Having a candidate from the moderate side, or from the hardliners or from the military or technocrats, not only will effect the internal and external policy of the Islamic Republic for the next four years, it, indirectly, will affect the selection of the next supreme leader."