Guest Commentary: Technology Can Feed the World
Over the next 35 years, as the projected world population reaches 9.6 billion, the demand for agricultural products will continue to increase, driven by population growth, rising disposable income within the growing middle class, demand for renewable fuels, and increasing substitution of petrochemical derivatives with “natural” ingredients and materials. At the current rate of improvement, yields of corn, rice, wheat and soy, the four crops that account for about two thirds of globally harvested food calories, will fall short of the needed 2.4 percent annual yield improvement required to double crop production by 2050. In fact, in about a quarter to one-third of today’s most important cropland areas, many of them in the top crop producing nations, yields are no longer improving. To further exacerbate this situation, constraints on land and water availability will continue to increase globally. To meet increased food demand as well as provide food security to almost a billion people who are chronically undernourished, global agriculture must do more than improve fertilization and farming practices—it must drive a step increase in agricultural productivity.
The tech industry, which has forever changed the world’s relationship to technology, media, telecommunications, and alternative energy, is now innovating in agriculture. Venture capital funding of food and agriculture-related startups has increased dramatically from $400 million in 2010 to an estimated $4.2 billion in 2015, and are supporting dynamic, new approaches in the areas of digital, biotech, and process innovation.
Digital Innovation capitalizes on the latest advancements in hardware and software to create a radically new system of farming relying on computing power and connectivity. Soil sensors are measuring how much moisture is in the ground. Startups are using drones to collect data and imagery to provide actionable crop analytics. FarmLink’s advanced analytics puts sophisticated industry data at farmers’ fingertips, allowing growers to validate their practices and decisions, and better plan future investments to maximize yields. In 2013, Monsanto moved into the digital agriculture space by acquiring a farming data solution provider, Climate Corp., for $930 million.
Biotech Innovation incorporates scientific techniques to improve plants, animals, and microorganisms. It includes a broad array of solutions, ranging from genetically engineered plants and animals, improved tools such as CRISPR (a radically improved genome editing technique with vast potential in ecology and conservation), and microbial technologies targeting bacteria. Monsanto’s DroughtGard corn has been designed to withstand dwindling water supplies. Fresh Del Monte produce has engineered a pink pineapple that includes lycopene, an antioxidant compound with cancer fighting properties. Several companies in Silicon Valley are working on development of plant and fermentation-derived meat, egg, and dairy replacements.
Process Innovation introduces new farming techniques to address constraints on farmers’ productivity and environmental sustainability. Vertical farming combined with hydroponics/aquaponics allows agriculture to flourish in areas without soil. Drip irrigation technology uses sub-surface low-pressure piping to deliver water directly to crop roots, resulting in both better yields and preservation of water resources. Reflecting the pertinence of this practice for developing countries, Israeli water sector giant Netafim won a $60 million drip-irrigation system installation project which will positively affect 22 rural communities in India, a country where only 32 percent of all farmland is irrigated. Perennial agriculture (currently in development) may improve crop yields by allowing multiple harvests per plant.
Among these technology innovations, three digital innovations—Sensors, Drones, and Big Data Analytics—have the potential to make the greatest impact on agribusiness in the near future. These three technologies are at the confluence of software and hardware advancements and they often exist in a symbiotic relationship. For example, within the emerging precision agriculture farming eco-system, drones carrying multiple sensors—or Unmanned Aerial Systems, such as those developed by Minneapolis-based Sentera, will collect real-time information in the field, which can be analyzed by powerful cloud-based applications to create immediate actionable recommendations for farmers. These new technologies hold the keys to increasing yields and providing food security for the world.
While improving developed countries’ agriculture is important, improving the developing world’s agricultural efficiency is critical. Any future tech innovation must be tailored not only for the developed world, but to the needs and capabilities of the rural population in developing countries. Innovators are leveraging the fact that more people in India have access to mobile phones than to running water. As an example, SmartAgri is using India’s mobile networks to provide farmers with easy to understand, actionable information based on analysis of useful soil data collected via sensors.
The step increase in agricultural productivity that is required to feed a growing population with shrinking resources requires a concerted effort from agribusiness companies as well as the technology and venture capital community. Furthermore, in order to address concerns over data ownership, data privacy, safety of biotech food, and the sustainability of new farming methods, government regulators and NGOs need to be actively involved. As with climate change, only a collective effort from several constituencies can solve the looming crisis of food security. It will take an accelerated focus of government working with industry to meet the future needs of our global population.
About
The Global Food and Agriculture Program aims to inform the development of US policy on global agricultural development and food security by raising awareness and providing resources, information, and policy analysis to the US Administration, Congress, and interested experts and organizations.
The Global Food and Agriculture Program is housed within the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, an independent, nonpartisan organization that provides insight – and influences the public discourse – on critical global issues. The Council on Global Affairs convenes leading global voices and conducts independent research to bring clarity and offer solutions to challenges and opportunities across the globe. The Council is committed to engaging the public and raising global awareness of issues that transcend borders and transform how people, business, and governments engage the world.
Support for the Global Food and Agriculture Program is generously provided by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Blogroll
1,000 Days Blog, 1,000 Days
Africa Can End Poverty, World Bank
Agrilinks Blog
Bread Blog, Bread for the World
Can We Feed the World Blog, Agriculture for Impact
Concern Blogs, Concern Worldwide
Institute Insights, Bread for the World Institute
End Poverty in South Asia, World Bank
Global Development Blog, Center for Global Development
The Global Food Banking Network
Harvest 2050, Global Harvest Initiative
The Hunger and Undernutrition Blog, Humanitas Global Development
International Food Policy Research Institute News, IFPRI
International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center Blog, CIMMYT
ONE Blog, ONE Campaign
One Acre Fund Blog, One Acre Fund
Overseas Development Institute Blog, Overseas Development Institute
Oxfam America Blog, Oxfam America
Preventing Postharvest Loss, ADM Institute
Sense & Sustainability Blog, Sense & Sustainability
WFP USA Blog, World Food Program USA
Archive
Guest Commentary – Designing Common Ground: Progressive Partnerships that Connect Smallholder Farmers
Matt Shakhovskoy of the Initiative for Smallholder Finance on developing progressive partnerships to address global food insecurity.
Guest Commentary – How Clocks Helped Grow Half a Million Tons of Food
Emily Hillenbrand of CARE USA on effective programming to divide household burdens equally among genders and increase female agricultural productivity.
Guest Commentary – Multisectoral Partnerships Created to Respond to Global Food and Nutrition Security Challenge
As part of our Food-Secure Future series, the ACRE Africa team discusses partnerships that are helping to secure progress in global agricultural development.
A Food-Secure Future: G7 and G20 Action on Agriculture and Food
The latest post in our Food-Secure Future series highlights the role of the G7 and the G20 in promoting global food security and agricultural development.
Big Ideas and Emerging Innovations
Highlighting approaches, technologies, and ideas that have the potential to radically advance global food security.
Guest Commentary – Elevating the Smallholder Voice and Making Aid more Accountable for Improved Food and Nutrition Security
Anne Wanlund of Gardens for Health International on accountability and transparency in smallholder agriculture.
Guest Commentary – 3 Things You Should Know about Malnutrition in Mozambique
Beatrice Montesi on her observations of the malnutrition situation in Mozambique.
Guest Commentary – Agricultural Production Should Focus on Food Quality and Nutrition alongside Quantity and Yield
His Excellency John A. Kufuor on refocusing the food system on diet quality and nutrition.
Guest Commentary – Holding World Leaders to Account to End Malnutrition
Lucy Sullivan of 1,000 Days on the need for greater accountability in global nutrition efforts.
Guest Commentary – Private Sector Intervention in Global Food Security
Alaa Murabit on the role of private sector and government in achieving global food security.
A Food-Secure Future: African Accountability to Food Security and Agricultural Development
The latest post in our Food-Secure Future series discusses the structures that are encouraging increased accountability to food security and agricultural development across the African continent.
She Succeeds, We Succeed: Breaking Down the Legal Barriers to Girls’ and Women’s Empowerment
Ahead of International Women's Day, the She Succeeds blog series explores how to break down the legal barriers to girls' and women's empowerment, from lack of legal ID to land tenure and ending child marriage.
Big Ideas and Emerging Innovations
Highlighting approaches, technologies, and ideas that have the potential to radically advance global food security.
Guest Commentary – In Africa, Expecting More from Agriculture than Food Security
As part of our Food-Secure Future series, Agnes Kalibata of AGRA discusses economic opportunity is the driver of agricultural development.
Guest Commentary – The Agribusiness Case for Climate Leadership
As part of our Food-Secure Future series, Dr. Margaret Zeigler of Global Harvest Initiative discusses ways in which agribusinesses can engage in sustainable practices.
