Global Data, Global Agriculture, and the Universal Age of Information
The crux of data integration within rural farming regions in developing countries is the explosive adaptation of mobile phones by smallholder farmers. Data penetration into areas that would otherwise be cut off from the flow of information has fundamentally transformed our ability to understand logistics and food security. Previously—only a decade ago—if we wanted to know the food security status of a region on a house-by-house basis, we’d have had to conduct a census-style study. Survey workers would go out into the field, door-to-door, and ask people: Have you planted your seeds yet? Have you harvested yet? How many bags of grain do you still have in storage? This process took weeks and costs thousands of dollars to gather a single data point.
Today, the same data can be captured using text messages on mobile phones. In exchange for a transfer of mobile data minutes, farmers across the most remote regions can be surveyed in a single day at minimal cost: Have you planted yet—respond yes or no. Have you harvested yet—respond yes or no. Population surveys can be conducted start-to-finish in a single day and on a weekly basis. For the same amount a survey team would spend on a single census, data scientists can collect longitudinal, population-level data on the status of food security and harvest cycles at the household, village, and regional levels—all with a fraction of the manpower.
These data points create a dynamic model more representational of what’s happening on the ground than anything we’ve had before. With the proliferation of mobile technology, farmers are able to receive and interact with new information in ways impossible a decade ago. Advice on how farmers can adapt to changing conditions—be they weather or market—allows smallholder farmers to make better, more informed farming, selling, and purchasing decisions, while detailed updates on grain stocks allows the development community to allocate resources with unprecedented accuracy.
Data penetration into remote areas of the world allows for greater understanding beyond farming as well. Researchers at the World Food Program have used cellular tower data to map the migrations of peoples fleeing natural and unnatural disasters and have even used cellular and mobile banking data to combat financial corruption. Part of the World Food Program assistance programs includes the delivery of electronic vouchers for food via mobile phones; by analyzing spending habits, the organization can form a basic picture of normal buying behavior. By looking at the amounts, frequency, and location of purchases and by aggregating data of aberrations in those categories, hot spots of unusual activity can then be identified and possible fraud can be investigated and halted.
Thinking bigger, big data will soon allow us to understand the impact of development practices in a meaningful, near-real time way. Analysis of high-resolution satellite imagery is approaching the point where analysis of ground images taken from space will provide the data necessary to measure the impact of development and economic activity. The rising or falling economic well-being of a village or region could be measured based on changes in the small-scale environment that are visible from space. Such technology would allow the comparative analytics of aid and development strategies, and allow successful techniques to be tested, identified, and implemented across wide swaths of land.
Data on this scale ushers in new promise for agriculture. Farmers from Nebraska to Namibia benefit from the sharing of information, now made more plentiful and accurate with the help of this rapidly growing body of data. There will be challenges as data become further integrated into agriculture, but the positive impact these changes can make—many of them already measurable—demonstrate, as the University of Illinois’s Symposium showcased, that the future is, in many ways, already here.
About
The Global Food and Agriculture Program aims to inform the development of US policy on global agricultural development and food security by raising awareness and providing resources, information, and policy analysis to the US Administration, Congress, and interested experts and organizations.
The Global Food and Agriculture Program is housed within the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, an independent, nonpartisan organization that provides insight – and influences the public discourse – on critical global issues. The Council on Global Affairs convenes leading global voices and conducts independent research to bring clarity and offer solutions to challenges and opportunities across the globe. The Council is committed to engaging the public and raising global awareness of issues that transcend borders and transform how people, business, and governments engage the world.
Support for the Global Food and Agriculture Program is generously provided by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Blogroll
1,000 Days Blog, 1,000 Days
Africa Can End Poverty, World Bank
Agrilinks Blog
Bread Blog, Bread for the World
Can We Feed the World Blog, Agriculture for Impact
Concern Blogs, Concern Worldwide
Institute Insights, Bread for the World Institute
End Poverty in South Asia, World Bank
Global Development Blog, Center for Global Development
The Global Food Banking Network
Harvest 2050, Global Harvest Initiative
The Hunger and Undernutrition Blog, Humanitas Global Development
International Food Policy Research Institute News, IFPRI
International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center Blog, CIMMYT
ONE Blog, ONE Campaign
One Acre Fund Blog, One Acre Fund
Overseas Development Institute Blog, Overseas Development Institute
Oxfam America Blog, Oxfam America
Preventing Postharvest Loss, ADM Institute
Sense & Sustainability Blog, Sense & Sustainability
WFP USA Blog, World Food Program USA
Archive
Guest Commentary – Food Security Is Essential to Our National Security
The latest post in the Agri-Pulse and Council column series features Lieutenant General John Castellaw, on the linkage between food security and national security.
Guest Commentary – Lessons from Dr. Borlaug: Overcoming the Divisions of Today for a Food-Secure 2050
Tara Mittelberg of Northwestern University reflects on how the legacy of Norman Borlaug can be applied to today's global food security challenges.
Stability in the 21st Century: Maximizing Private Sector Engagement
The third recommendation from our recent report, Stability in the 21st Century, offers actions that the US government can take to leverage the power of the private sector in promoting global agricultural development.
Big Ideas and Emerging Innovations
Highlighting approaches, technologies, and ideas that have the potential to radically advance global food security.
Seizing the Opportunity: Ag Trade in the Era of Trump
Grace Burton discusses the opportunity presented to US agriculture by the Trade Facilitation Agreement, as highlighted in a recent Council report.
Stability in the 21st Century: Expanding Research Capacity for Innovation in Agriculture
Check out the second post in our series highlighting recommendations from the new report, Stability in the 21st Century: Global Food Security for Peace and Prosperity.
Big Ideas and Emerging Innovations
Highlighting approaches, technologies, and ideas that have the potential to radically advance global food security.
Guest Commentary – UC Berkeley Supply Chain Conference Promises Diverse Perspectives on Innovation
As UC Berkeley’s College of Natural Resources gears up for its upcoming conference, “Strategic Perspectives on Innovation in Agrifood Supply Chains”, check out a preview of the topics and speakers who will be presenting at the event.
Stability in the 21st Century: Integrating Engagement on Food Security and National Security
Beginning this week, the Council will highlight recommendations from the new report, Stability in the 21st Century: Global Food Security for Peace and Prosperity, in a weekly blog series.
Feeding 2050: Blockchain – A Levelled Global Playing Field
As part of our Science, Food, and Equity series, Marcus Glassman discusses how blockchain can promote agricultural development in emerging markets.
Big Ideas and Emerging Innovations
Highlighting approaches, technologies, and ideas that have the potential to radically advance global food security.
Guest Commentary – Not Your Grandma’s FBO: Today’s Faith-Based Organizations Play a Key Role in Global Food Security
Daniel Speckhard of Lutheran World Relief on the important role that faith-based organizations play in promoting global food security.
Guest Commentary – Trade and Development, a Winning Combination for the World
Jim Hershey of WISHH on the role that soy plays in food security and agricultural development.
Guest Commentary – On the Precipice of an Agricultural Triumph or Hardship: Tackling Food Insecurity by 2050
Daniel O’Neill Vogwill, high schooler at the Chicago High School for Agricultural Sciences, discusses his perspective on global food security as an urban student in a rural industry.
Guest Commentary – Bees Are Better than Barriers
Dr. Oscar Castañeda of Heifer International on how agricultural development can help people facing migration decisions stay at home more feasibly.
